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Siam Technology College

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THE STUDY OF THE ECONOMIC VARIABLES THAT AFFECT THE VALUE OF EXPORT [คัดลอกลิงค์นี้เพื่อนำไปแบ่งปัน]

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โพสต์เมื่อ 2017-9-26 13:43:22 |แสดงทั้งหมด
แก้ไขครั้งสุดท้ายโดย catthaleeyar เมื่อ 2017-9-26 13:44


THESTUDY OF THE ECONOMIC VARIABLES THAT AFFECT THE VALUE OF EXPORT






Surang BOONYAPONGCHAI *1),

Nassaporn TICHA WANICH 2),

Jakrit TICHA VANICH 3)


and Parawee SRIKAN 4)


ABSTRACT

     This research presents the Study of the economicvariables that affect the alue of export. The explanatory variables use toexplore the variation of export value are all vit:l economic factors includingvalue of import (lM) , business confidence index (BSl), expo confidence index(EXSl) , consumer price index (CPI) , the net foreign investment (Fl) andprivate investment index (Pl). Multiple regression analysis is used to test asignification of the e planatory variables which use a secondary data collectedfrom January 2008 to December 2014. 6 found that there are only threeexplanatory variables significantly explained the variation 0 the value ofexport which are the import value, the export confidence index and the consumeprice index. These variables are used to construct a predictive model.Considering the degree 0 influence for each significant variable, we found thatthe import value, (31M = .472) is highly impactful with the value of export.For the other significant explanatory variables, the co sumer price index ([3cm = .3l2 ) , the export confidence index EXSl ( BEXSI = .218 ) are r: kedwith different degree of influence respectively and three variables thatpositively explai ed the variation of the value of export. The predictive modelgenerated R-Square of 0.783 w I ich can be implied that 78.3. % of thevariation of the value of ‘export can be explained by 3 rignificant variableswhich is considerably constructive.

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